Mbeya City vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MBE
2 - 1
MTI
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
YOU
1 - 0
MBE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
RUV
1 - 1
MBE
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
KAG
0 - 1
MBE
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 3
MBE
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JKT
1 - 0
SIM
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MTI
1 - 1
SIM
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SIM
4 - 0
JKT
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 0
RHI
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ASH
2 - 4
SIM
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |