Mbeya City vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
MBE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JKT
2 - 1
MBE
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MBE
0 - 2
MTI
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MBE
0 - 1
AZA
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
RUV
0 - 0
MBE
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
JKT
2 - 0
NDA
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NDA
1 - 0
AZA
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NDA
0 - 1
JKT
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NDA
1 - 3
RUV
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COA
2 - 1
NDA
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |