Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MKF
0 - 0
MBE
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 1
MBE
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
NAM
2 - 0
MBE
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
YOU
0 - 0
MBE
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 0
RUV
58%
25%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 1
NAM
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
YOU
3 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
POL
0 - 0
KAG
37%
31%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 1
COA
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 0
SIM
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |