Mbao vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MBA
1 - 0
BUM
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MBA
1 - 1
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
MBA
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 0
MBA
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MTI
2 - 0
MBA
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
KAG
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BUM
0 - 2
KAG
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +3 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
KAG
2 - 0
PSC
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 17 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
PSC
0 - 0
KAG
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
KAG
1 - 3
SUN
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |