Mbao vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
YOU
3 - 0
MBA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TAN
1 - 1
MBA
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
MBA
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MBA
3 - 1
TOT
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MMA
1 - 0
MBA
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 3
AZA
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 6
YOU
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
JKT
0 - 1
KAG
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
KAG
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MMA
0 - 1
KAG
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |