Mbale Heroes vs Maroons FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
66.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbale Heroes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
NEC
2 - 0
MHF
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
MHF
0 - 1
EXP
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
SCV
3 - 1
MHF
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MHF
0 - 1
WAK
23%
23%
55%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
URA
3 - 2
MHF
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Maroons FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
VIP
39%
26%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
UPD
2 - 1
MFC
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
WAK
3 - 3
MFC
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 0
EXP
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 1
MFC
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |