Mbale Heroes vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbale Heroes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
SCV
3 - 1
MHF
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MHF
0 - 1
WAK
23%
23%
55%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
URA
3 - 2
MHF
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
MHF
1 - 3
LUG
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
KCC
5 - 0
MHF
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
EXP
2 - 2
VIP
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 0
EXP
50%
25%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
NEC
3 - 1
EXP
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
EXP
1 - 2
UGA
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 0
EXP
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |