Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 4
MBA
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MBA
4 - 1
ROY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MBA
3 - 2
HIG
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
YOU
0 - 1
MBA
35%
25%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ROY
3 - 1
MBA
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAN
48%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 4
MAN
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
ROY
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
RLI
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |