Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
MBA
0 - 0
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
EMF
0 - 1
MBA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
MBA
5 - 1
MAL
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
HIG
3 - 2
MBA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
PIR
2 - 2
MBA
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -2 |
Matches
Manzini Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAN
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 2
HIG
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 5
YOU
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MHL
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |