Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
YOU
2 - 3
MBA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
MBA
2 - 0
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
MBA
7 - 1
MHL
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HIG
2 - 1
MBA
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 4
MBA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
HUB
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 3
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 1
MHL
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |