Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
MBA
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 3
MBA
45%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MBA
1 - 1
YOU
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PLS
2 - 2
MBA
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MBA
1 - 3
CSS
15%
22%
64%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 2
MON
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
4 - 0
RLI
35%
27%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MID
0 - 0
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |