Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 3
MBA
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MBA
2 - 1
ROY
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 5
MBA
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MID
1 - 0
MBA
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
MBA
1 - 1
MAN
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
RLI
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
BBF
2 - 1
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
YOU
1 - 0
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ROY
0 - 0
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |