Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
YOU
1 - 4
MBA
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MBA
3 - 2
TAM
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MBA
2 - 2
MAL
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROY
1 - 2
MBA
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MBA
0 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
HFC
0 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RLI
1 - 3
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
HIG
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |