Mazur Karczew vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WSI
2 - 1
MKP
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MKP
0 - 0
HWP
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PBI
1 - 2
MKP
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
LTM
2 - 1
MKP
60%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MKP
0 - 0
BRA
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SOT
1 - 2
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
WLI
1 - 1
SOT
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SOT
3 - 0
TAR
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ZRP
3 - 1
SOT
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -3 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SOT
1 - 2
WIE
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |