Mazur Karczew vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
OKL
1 - 0
MKP
42%
25%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MKP
1 - 0
ZRP
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
WIE
1 - 2
MKP
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
MKP
1 - 0
ZRP
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
OWP
2 - 1
MKP
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SOT
5 - 1
WSI
59%
23%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
SOT
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
OKL
1 - 1
SOT
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SOT
3 - 1
WSI
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 1
SOT
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |