Mazur Karczew vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UWA
2 - 1
MKP
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MKP
0 - 2
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WSI
0 - 0
MKP
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MKP
3 - 1
HWP
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
3 - 1
MKP
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
BRA
35%
25%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HWP
0 - 0
SOT
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SOT
2 - 0
OKL
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WZP
1 - 2
SOT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 0
OWP
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |