Mazur Karczew vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
MKP
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PGM
3 - 0
MKP
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MKP
1 - 0
TAR
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WZP
0 - 0
MKP
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MKP
0 - 1
OWP
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
LTM
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LTM
0 - 0
WSI
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LTM
1 - 0
OKL
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ZRP
0 - 2
LTM
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LTM
0 - 0
WIE
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |