Mazur Ełk vs Tur Bielsk Podlaski analysis


16	ELO	14
0.4%	Tilt	2.1%
13273º	General ELO ranking	35786º
242º	Country ELO ranking	490º
ELO win probability

55.9%

Mazur Ełk

22.2%

Draw

21.9%

Tur Bielsk Podlaski

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

55.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%

22.2%

Draw

0-0

4.9%

1-1

10.4%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

22.2%

21.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mazur Ełk

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Aug. 2009	MEP 3 - 0 OLI 30% 25% 45%	14	20	6	0
15 Aug. 2009	PMP 4 - 2 MEP 43% 24% 33%	16	14	2	-2
09 Aug. 2009	MEP 0 - 3 COP 50% 24% 26%	17	17	0	-1

Matches

Tur Bielsk Podlaski

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Aug. 2009	TBP 1 - 0 PMP 41% 25% 34%	14	15	1
16 Aug. 2009	COP 1 - 0 TBP 62% 21% 18%	14	17	3
08 Aug. 2009	TBP 1 - 0 MFC 41% 25% 34%	14	16	2