Mazenod Swallows vs Machokha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
15º
15º
36
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazenod Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 0
MSW
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
MSW
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
MSW
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MSW
0 - 3
LFC
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LMP
3 - 0
MSW
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Machokha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
LDF
3 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NBF
0 - 1
MFC
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
MSW
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
LFC
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |