Mazenod Swallows vs CCX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
15º
15º
21
13º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazenod Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MSW
0 - 1
LIN
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MSW
2 - 1
GAL
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
MSW
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MSW
1 - 2
LMP
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MSW
1 - 2
LDF
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CCX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CCX
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CCX
2 - 1
LIO
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
3 - 2
CCX
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CCX
2 - 1
NBF
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CCX
1 - 0
LFC
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |