Mazatlán vs Toluca analysis

Mazatlán Toluca
72 ELO 82
4.5% Tilt 1.8%
686º General ELO ranking 332º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.2%
Mazatlán
24.6%
Draw
49.2%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
Mazatlán
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.2%
Win probability
Toluca
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mazatlán
-5%
+23%
Toluca

Points and table prediction

Mazatlán
Their league position
Toluca
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
18º
10º
21
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas FC
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mazatlán
Toluca
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Mazatlán
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mazatlán
Mazatlán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
NEC
Necaxa
4 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
37%
27%
36%
73 70 3 0
02 Nov. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
29%
25%
47%
72 79 7 +1
28 Oct. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
3 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
47%
26%
27%
72 72 0 0
21 Oct. 2023
ATS
Atlas FC
1 - 3
Mazatlán
MAZ
56%
25%
19%
71 80 9 +1
07 Oct. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 2
América
AME
21%
24%
55%
71 84 13 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2023
SAN
Santos Laguna
3 - 1
Toluca
TOL
38%
25%
38%
83 78 5 0
01 Nov. 2023
TOL
Toluca
0 - 1
Puebla
PUE
70%
18%
13%
83 76 7 0
29 Oct. 2023
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
70%
18%
13%
83 75 8 0
22 Oct. 2023
LEO
León
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
46%
24%
30%
83 83 0 0
08 Oct. 2023
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
76%
15%
9%
83 72 11 0