Mazatlán vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability

1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.2%
Win probability

1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-5%
+23%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
18º
10º
21
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
![]() |
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
![]() |
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
0% | |
![]() |
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
0% | |
![]() |
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
0% | |
![]() |
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
0% | |
![]() |
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazatlán

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 Nov. 2023 |
NEC
![]() 4 - 0
![]() MAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
02 Nov. 2023 |
MAZ
![]() 3 - 1
![]() SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
28 Oct. 2023 |
MAZ
![]() 3 - 0
![]() QRO
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
21 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
![]() 1 - 3
![]() MAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
07 Oct. 2023 |
MAZ
![]() 1 - 2
![]() AME
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
06 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
![]() 3 - 1
![]() TOL
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
01 Nov. 2023 |
TOL
![]() 0 - 1
![]() PUE
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
29 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
![]() 3 - 1
![]() AUR
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
22 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
![]() 1 - 0
![]() TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
08 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
![]() 3 - 1
![]() QRO
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |