Mazatlán vs Toluca analysis

Mazatlán Toluca
75 ELO 80
-0.3% Tilt -5.7%
685º General ELO ranking 329º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.1%
Mazatlán
24.7%
Draw
34.1%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Mazatlán
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.2%
Win probability
Toluca
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mazatlán
-5%
+23%
Toluca

ELO progression

Mazatlán
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mazatlán
Mazatlán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2022
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
63%
20%
17%
76 81 5 0
06 Nov. 2021
MAZ
Mazatlán
0 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
49%
25%
26%
76 81 5 0
30 Oct. 2021
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 1
Mazatlán
MAZ
51%
24%
25%
76 76 0 0
23 Oct. 2021
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
55%
23%
23%
76 75 1 0
20 Oct. 2021
PUE
Puebla
2 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
57%
22%
21%
77 80 3 -1

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2022
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
40%
26%
35%
79 84 5 0
11 Jan. 2022
PUM
Pumas UNAM
5 - 0
Toluca
TOL
49%
25%
26%
80 81 1 -1
22 Nov. 2021
TOL
Toluca
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
57%
23%
21%
80 80 0 0
06 Nov. 2021
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
38%
27%
36%
80 80 0 0
31 Oct. 2021
TOL
Toluca
0 - 0
León
LEO
39%
24%
37%
80 84 4 0