Mazarrón CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazarrón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 1
MAZ
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAZ
0 - 1
RJA
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 2
MAZ
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAZ
0 - 0
ALC
37%
26%
36%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MER
4 - 2
MAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 1
LOR
26%
30%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
LUC
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAZ
0 - 0
LUC
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
TAL
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |