Mazagão vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazagão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SPM
2 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
SEC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SPM
0 - 1
MAC
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 4
ORC
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
3 - 3
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |