Mazagão vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazagão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
SPM
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
TDC
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +4 |
| 02 Jul. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
YAP
3 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SAO
4 - 1
MAC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
YAP
1 - 0
ORC
69%
18%
12%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |