Maximoise vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
72.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUB
28%
25%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUB
0 - 0
FRE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OLY
3 - 2
AUB
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HYE
1 - 2
AUB
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
JUR
0 - 2
AUB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |