CAF U20 Preliminary stages Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Mauritania U20 vs Guinea U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MTN
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
MTN
2 - 0
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BHR
2 - 1
MTN
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
MTN
77%
16%
6%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 1
MTN
89%
9%
2%
|
31 | 81 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 5
ARG
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
ENG
1 - 1
GUI
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
KOR
3 - 0
GUI
74%
16%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |