Mauritius vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
MUS
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MUS
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 0
MUS
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
IDN
1 - 0
MUS
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SGP
1 - 1
MUS
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
0 - 4
COD
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
TAN
1 - 1
ZIM
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
0 - 0
ZIM
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |