Mauritius vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
LBY
2 - 1
MUS
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 2
CHA
22%
24%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MUS
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 0
ANG
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CMR
3 - 0
MUS
81%
15%
4%
|
37 | 81 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
SWZ
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SWZ
2 - 2
SOM
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
16%
20%
65%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 2
CPV
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LBY
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |