African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 3-2
Mauritius vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 1
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
MUS
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
MWI
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
SYC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
5 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
4 - 0
SYC
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SYC
0 - 1
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SYC
0 - 2
ALG
11%
21%
69%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |