Mauritius vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CPV
3 - 1
MUS
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MUS
0 - 1
CPV
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MUS
0 - 3
CMR
5%
17%
79%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MUS
1 - 2
MAD
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BFA
4 - 1
SYC
74%
16%
9%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SYC
2 - 3
BFA
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
SYC
0 - 2
TUN
9%
20%
70%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BDI
1 - 0
SYC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MUS
1 - 1
SYC
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |