Mauritius vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MAD
0 - 2
MUS
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
EGY
7 - 0
MUS
95%
5%
1%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
MUS
0 - 1
EGY
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
MAD
2 - 1
MUS
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 2
MLI
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ERI
1 - 0
SYC
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SYC
2 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ZIM
3 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |