Mauritius vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MUS
2 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SYC
4 - 3
MUS
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +4 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
MAD
3 - 0
SYC
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
MAD
5 - 2
SYC
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1994 |
UGA
2 - 0
SYC
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | +2 |