Mauritius vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
PAK
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
83%
13%
4%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
ANG
9%
20%
71%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
MWI
13%
24%
63%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MUS
73%
19%
8%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
3 - 2
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DJI
1 - 4
SSD
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -3 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 1
BDI
9%
19%
72%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
DJI
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
DJI
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |