Mauritius vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.2%
74.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
20.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
19.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
MUS
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2006 |
MUS
1 - 2
TAN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MUS
4 - 5
MOZ
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ANG
5 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2006 |
UKR
1 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
TUN
91%
8%
2%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 2
KSA
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 0
URU
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |