Mauritius vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MUS
2 - 0
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UGA
3 - 0
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SYC
0 - 3
RSA
10%
20%
71%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
RSA
1 - 1
AUS
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
NGA
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UGA
0 - 1
RSA
27%
26%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
COD
1 - 0
RSA
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |