Mauritius vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UGA
3 - 0
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
MUS
0 - 0
SYC
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MAD
0 - 2
MUS
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TUN
2 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
EGY
2 - 1
RSA
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CRC
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 3
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZIM
64%
22%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |