Mauritius vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 5
KEN
26%
28%
47%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
MOZ
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 2
RSA
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 2
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 4
MAR
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
2 - 1
GAB
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 0
CIV
12%
22%
65%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 0
COD
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |