African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 0-3
Mauritius vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
18%
7%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 4
ZIM
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
MUS
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MUS
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 0
MUS
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MAD
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
MOZ
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 0
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |