Mauritius vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
MOZ
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 2
RSA
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
76%
19%
6%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GHA
7 - 1
MUS
83%
14%
4%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 2
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
ETH
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 0
KEN
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CGO
1 - 1
KEN
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
KEN
2 - 0
SSD
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |