Mauritius vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
1 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MAD
2 - 0
MUS
44%
24%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
0 - 1
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
1 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PRI
1 - 3
GLP
36%
23%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 0
GLP
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
DMA
0 - 7
GLP
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
GLP
0 - 1
GUF
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |