AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 1-3
Mauritius vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
MUS
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
MWI
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
MUS
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
15 | 64 | 49 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 0
COM
87%
11%
3%
|
15 | 71 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
BFA
7%
16%
78%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | 0 |