Mauritius vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MUS
1 - 1
SYC
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MUS
3 - 0
SYC
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
MUS
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SDN
3 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
MUS
75%
18%
8%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COM
0 - 4
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 0
COD
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |