Mauritius vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MUS
2 - 0
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UGA
3 - 0
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
MUS
0 - 0
SYC
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAD
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MAD
1 - 1
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |