Mauritius vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
MUS
1 - 0
SYC
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MUS
2 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MAD
1 - 0
EGY
11%
23%
66%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
RSA
4 - 1
MAD
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 0
MAD
81%
13%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MUS
2 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |