Mauritius vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 1
MUS
71%
17%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
88%
10%
2%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 1
MUS
71%
17%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
MAD
2 - 0
MUS
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
MAD
3 - 0
SYC
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
MAD
5 - 2
SYC
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |