Mauritius vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
71.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
0 - 0
MUS
78%
16%
6%
|
38 | 80 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 0
ZIM
13%
22%
66%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SWZ
3 - 3
MUS
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
CPV
1 - 0
MUS
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GEO
1 - 1
CPV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
MAS
0 - 3
CPV
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
MAS
1 - 1
CPV
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
1 - 2
CPV
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
CPV
1 - 0
MUS
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |