African Nations Championship 1/16
Global 2-4
Mauritius vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
TAN
1 - 1
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 0
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 1
ANG
14%
23%
64%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SYC
1 - 1
MUS
31%
23%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 1
SYC
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 0
ANG
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 0
TAN
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 1
ANG
14%
23%
64%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BFA
3 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
0 - 0
ANG
64%
24%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |