Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs ES Wasquehal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
13º
38
2º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
SML
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SML
3 - 2
SPI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
STL
3 - 1
SML
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SML
2 - 2
OLY
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 2
SML
53%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESW
2 - 1
BOB
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
ESW
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ESW
5 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IRI
2 - 1
ESW
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 1
ESW
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |