Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs Vitry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
4º
23
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
SML
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SML
1 - 0
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 1
SML
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
FUR
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
SML
38%
28%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 0
IVR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
VTR
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 0
VTR
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 2
BLA
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
VTR
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |